Winnipeg Jets at Detroit Red Wings — Bettor’s Scouting Report

Portfolio A · DET — defenseman shot volume

Winnipeg Jets have allowed 8.40 shots on goal per game to opposing defensemen (+9.7% versus league). That opens a Detroit Red Wings defenseman SOG search. Detroit Red Wings have generated 7.42 through their defense (-3.3% versus league), which describes their normal volume. Moritz Seider, Ben Chiarot, Axel Sandin-Pellikka and Albert Johansson have supplied 68% of their team's prior production here, with 32% coming from others. That puts their SOG markets at the front of this shot-volume read.

Portfolio B · WPG — forward shot volume

Detroit Red Wings have allowed 20.26 shots on goal per game to opposing forwards (+0.8% versus league). That opens a Winnipeg Jets forward SOG search. Winnipeg Jets have generated 18.96 through their forwards (-5.7% versus league), which describes their normal volume. Kyle Connor, Mark Scheifele, Gabriel Vilardi, Morgan Barron and Nino Niederreiter have supplied 53% of their team's prior production here, with 47% coming from others. Their SOG markets are the way to bet on that shot volume, subject to their current roles holding.

Winnipeg Jets — SOG scouting

Detroit Red Wings allowed 20.26 SOG/game to forward lines (+0.8% versus league). That defensive allowance opens a forward lines SOG search. Winnipeg Jets generated 18.96 (-5.7% versus league) in their prior games; that normal team volume does not erase the matchup. The player scan is attack — broad. Overall, Detroit Red Wings allowed 27.7 SOG/game and Winnipeg Jets generated 26.5; the positional split matters more for this read.

Kyle Connor, Mark Scheifele and Gabriel Vilardi are the primary current shot owners. Morgan Barron and Nino Niederreiter add current roles with historical five-on-five SOG and attempts. The player tables show each current line or pair, PP route, qualified shot history and an exact quote when one was observed.

Rates are prior per-game observations from their own qualified cohorts; attempts and SOG are one nested shot pool.

Detroit Red Wings — SOG scouting

Winnipeg Jets allowed 8.40 SOG/game to defense pairs (+9.7% versus league). That defensive allowance opens a defense pairs SOG search. Detroit Red Wings generated 7.42 (-3.3% versus league) in their prior games; that normal team volume does not erase the matchup. The player scan is attack — concentrated. Overall, Winnipeg Jets allowed 27.7 SOG/game and Detroit Red Wings generated 28.2; the positional split matters more for this read.

Moritz Seider, Ben Chiarot and Axel Sandin-Pellikka are the primary current shot owners. Albert Johansson add current roles with historical five-on-five SOG and attempts. The player tables show each current line or pair, PP route, qualified shot history and an exact quote when one was observed.

Rates are prior per-game observations from their own qualified cohorts; attempts and SOG are one nested shot pool.

Detroit Red Wings — defenseman shot volume

Winnipeg Jets have allowed 8.40 shots on goal per game to opposing defensemen (+9.7% versus league). That opens a Detroit Red Wings defenseman SOG search. Detroit Red Wings have generated 7.42 through their defense (-3.3% versus league), which describes their normal volume. The defensive allowance starts the player scan; the team’s prior shooting rate does not veto it. That makes the back end a natural place to look for shots.

Moritz Seider, Ben Chiarot and Axel Sandin-Pellikka carry the largest prior share of this shot group. Albert Johansson also has a current line and recorded five-on-five shots and attempts, so the shot case reaches beyond the primary names. Other players supplied 32% of the team's prior group SOG. Albert Johansson recorded 0.72 SOG and 2.19 attempts per qualified game at five-on-five; the current role has no established PP shot route. Attempts include shots that missed or were blocked; they are part of the same shot pool as SOG.

That makes their SOG markets the cleanest way to bet on the shots. They need to put pucks on net; they do not need to score.

Winnipeg Jets — forward shot volume

Detroit Red Wings have allowed 20.26 shots on goal per game to opposing forwards (+0.8% versus league). That opens a Winnipeg Jets forward SOG search. Winnipeg Jets have generated 18.96 through their forwards (-5.7% versus league), which describes their normal volume. The defensive allowance starts the player scan; the team’s prior shooting rate does not veto it.

Kyle Connor, Mark Scheifele and Gabriel Vilardi carry the largest prior share of this shot group. Morgan Barron and Nino Niederreiter also have current lines and recorded five-on-five shots and attempts, so the shot case reaches beyond the primary names. Other players supplied 47% of the team's prior group SOG. Morgan Barron recorded 1.30 SOG and 2.50 attempts per qualified game at five-on-five; the current role has no established PP shot route. Nino Niederreiter recorded 1.18 SOG and 2.09 attempts per qualified game at five-on-five; current PP2 membership adds a possible route, with 0.20 SOG and 0.43 attempts per game in prior power-play states. Attempts include shots that missed or were blocked; they are part of the same shot pool as SOG.

That makes their SOG markets the cleanest way to bet on the shots. They need to put pucks on net; they do not need to score.

Winnipeg Jets PP1

Winnipeg Jets have averaged 2.92 power plays per game, and Detroit Red Wings have conceded 2.62. Together those past rates sit at roughly 3 chances. That is close to average, so PP1 has to produce from about its usual number of chances.

When Winnipeg Jets have had the extra skater, they generated 1.41 SOG per chance; Detroit Red Wings allowed 1.28. Gabriel Vilardi and Mark Scheifele have scored the most PP goals among today's PP1, while Kyle Connor and Josh Morrissey have supplied the most credited PP assists. The listed unit is current, but its minutes tonight are not guaranteed.

PP2 (informational): Viggo Björck, Isak Rosen, Vladislav Namestnikov, Nino Niederreiter, Neal Pionk.

Detroit Red Wings PP1

Detroit Red Wings have averaged 3.08 power plays per game, and Winnipeg Jets have conceded 3.08. Together those past rates sit at roughly 3 chances. That is a little more favorable than average, giving PP1 another chance to matter.

When Detroit Red Wings have had the extra skater, they generated 1.50 SOG per chance; Winnipeg Jets allowed 1.31. Alex DeBrincat and Lucas Raymond have scored the most PP goals among today's PP1, while Moritz Seider and Lucas Raymond have supplied the most credited PP assists. The listed unit is current, but its minutes tonight are not guaranteed.

PP2 (informational): Emmitt Finnie, Michael Rasmussen, Nate Danielson, Axel Sandin-Pellikka, Justin Faulk.