St Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche — Bettor’s Scouting Report

Portfolio A · COL — defenseman shot volume

St Louis Blues have allowed 8.38 shots on goal per game to opposing defensemen (+9.4% versus league). That opens a Colorado Avalanche defenseman SOG search. Colorado Avalanche have generated 10.75 through their defense (+40.2% versus league), which describes their normal volume. Cale Makar, Brent Burns, Sam Malinski, Josh Manson and Devon Toews have supplied 90% of their team's prior production here, with 10% coming from others. Those shot histories make their SOG markets the clearest individual options.

Portfolio B · COL — PP1 finishing

St Louis Blues have allowed 3.20 goals per game, while Colorado Avalanche have scored 3.86. Those are full-game historical rates. Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas, Cale Makar and Gabriel Landeskog have supplied 44% of their team's prior production here, with 56% coming from others. Their goal markets follow their PP1 finishing history.

Portfolio C · COL — PP1 assist production

St Louis Blues have allowed 5.49 assists per game, while Colorado Avalanche have produced 6.74. Those are full-game historical rates. Cale Makar, Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas have supplied 38% of their team's prior production here, with 62% coming from others. Those credited PP assists make their assist markets the relevant bets to examine.

St Louis Blues — SOG scouting

The opponent has allowed fewer SOG than league to both positional groups. Overall, Colorado Avalanche allowed 26.2 SOG/game and St Louis Blues generated 25.1; the positional split matters more for this read.

The historical defensive allowance does not open a SOG-over search in either position group.

Rates are prior per-game observations from their own qualified cohorts; attempts and SOG are one nested shot pool.

Colorado Avalanche — SOG scouting

St Louis Blues allowed 8.38 SOG/game to defense pairs (+9.4% versus league). That defensive allowance opens a defense pairs SOG search. Colorado Avalanche generated 10.75 (+40.2% versus league) in their prior games; that normal team volume does not erase the matchup. The player scan is attack — concentrated. Overall, St Louis Blues allowed 27.6 SOG/game and Colorado Avalanche generated 34.3; the positional split matters more for this read.

Cale Makar, Brent Burns and Sam Malinski are the primary current shot owners. Josh Manson and Devon Toews add current roles with historical five-on-five SOG and attempts. The player tables show each current line or pair, PP route, qualified shot history and an exact quote when one was observed.

Rates are prior per-game observations from their own qualified cohorts; attempts and SOG are one nested shot pool.

Colorado Avalanche — defenseman shot volume

St Louis Blues have allowed 8.38 shots on goal per game to opposing defensemen (+9.4% versus league). That opens a Colorado Avalanche defenseman SOG search. Colorado Avalanche have generated 10.75 through their defense (+40.2% versus league), which describes their normal volume. The defensive allowance starts the player scan; the team’s prior shooting rate does not veto it. That makes the back end a natural place to look for shots.

Cale Makar, Brent Burns and Sam Malinski carry the largest prior share of this shot group. Josh Manson and Devon Toews also have current lines and recorded five-on-five shots and attempts, so the shot case reaches beyond the primary names. Other players supplied 10% of the team's prior group SOG. Josh Manson recorded 1.43 SOG and 3.11 attempts per qualified game at five-on-five; the current role has no established PP shot route. Devon Toews recorded 1.36 SOG and 3.21 attempts per qualified game at five-on-five; current PP2 membership adds a possible route, with 0.23 SOG and 0.23 attempts per game in prior power-play states. Attempts include shots that missed or were blocked; they are part of the same shot pool as SOG.

That makes their SOG markets the cleanest way to bet on the shots. They need to put pucks on net; they do not need to score.

Colorado Avalanche — PP1 finishing

St Louis Blues have allowed 3.20 goals per game, while Colorado Avalanche have scored 3.86. Those are full-game historical rates. On the power play, Colorado Avalanche have produced 0.17 goals per chance, and St Louis Blues have allowed 0.26. They have scored enough to make the current PP1 finishers worth examining, especially if the top unit gets its usual chances.

Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas, Cale Makar and Gabriel Landeskog have 20 prior current-team PP goals between them and are on today's PP1. Their current lines or pairs give them ice outside the power play too. Other players supplied 56% of the team's full-game historical goals.

That puts their PP1 goal markets on the finishing list. Each bet needs that player to finish a chance.

Colorado Avalanche — PP1 assist production

St Louis Blues have allowed 5.49 assists per game, while Colorado Avalanche have produced 6.74. Those are full-game historical rates. On the power play, Colorado Avalanche have produced 0.33 assists per chance, and St Louis Blues have allowed 0.50. A goal creates the chance for a credited assist; the current PP1 group has done much of that scoring work.

Cale Makar, Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas have 43 prior current-team credited PP assists between them and are on today's PP1. Their current lines or pairs give them ice outside the power play too. Other players supplied 62% of the team's full-game historical assists.

That makes their assist markets the way to bet on their part in the scoring, without guessing who will make a particular pass.

St Louis Blues PP1

St Louis Blues have averaged 2.73 power plays per game, and Colorado Avalanche have conceded 2.96. Together those past rates sit at roughly 3 chances. That is close to average, so PP1 has to produce from about its usual number of chances.

When St Louis Blues have had the extra skater, they generated 1.21 SOG per chance; Colorado Avalanche allowed 1.33. Jimmy Snuggerud and Dylan Holloway have scored the most PP goals among today's PP1, while Robert Thomas and Cam Fowler have supplied the most credited PP assists. The listed unit is current, but its minutes tonight are not guaranteed.

PP2 (informational): Pavel Buchnevich, Connor McMichael, Dalibor Dvorsky, Jake Neighbours, Adam Jiříček.

Colorado Avalanche PP1

Colorado Avalanche have averaged 3.45 power plays per game, and St Louis Blues have conceded 2.80. Together those past rates sit at roughly 3 chances. That is close to average, so PP1 has to produce from about its usual number of chances.

When Colorado Avalanche have had the extra skater, they generated 1.52 SOG per chance; St Louis Blues allowed 1.35. Nathan MacKinnon and Martin Necas have scored the most PP goals among today's PP1, while Cale Makar and Nathan MacKinnon have supplied the most credited PP assists. The listed unit is current, but its minutes tonight are not guaranteed.

PP2 (informational): Artturi Lehkonen, Brock Nelson, Nazem Kadri, Jaden Schwartz, Devon Toews.