Bettor’s Scouting Report · NHL

Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks — Bettor’s Scouting Report

Matchup scouting, current roles, power-play opportunity and observed player markets.

Betting board / portfolios

Start with where each team has been able to get shots or scoring chances against this opponent. The players below have the current roles to use those openings; prices appear only when a fresh exact quote is available.

Portfolio A · LAK — forward shot volume

San Jose Sharks have allowed 22.17 shots on goal per game to opposing forwards (+10.3% versus league). That opens a Los Angeles Kings forward SOG search. Los Angeles Kings have generated 21.05 through their forwards (+4.7% versus league), which describes their normal volume. Adrian Kempe, Alex Laferriere, Quinton Byfield, Trevor Moore and Alex Turcotte have supplied 49% of their team's prior production here, with 51% coming from others. Their SOG markets are the way to bet on that shot volume, subject to their current roles holding.

PlayerPositionCurrent line / pairCurrent PPQualified gamesSOG/G5v5 SOG/GPP SOG/GAttempts/G5v5 Attempts/GPP Attempts/GTOI min/GTeam shot shareSOG roleCurrent market line / price
Adrian KempeRWLine 1PP1602.771.870.606.274.021.4519.1713.1%PrimaryOver 2.5 (-145) · draftkings · 2026-10-04T01:38:13.760068+00:00 · rotowire
Alex LaferriereRWLine 2PP2602.481.980.325.424.550.5517.7111.8%PrimaryOver 2.5 (+105) · betrivers · 2026-10-04T01:38:13.760068+00:00 · rotowire
Quinton ByfieldCLine 1PP1592.171.510.344.393.020.7120.0210.1%PrimaryOver 2.5 (-117) · caesars · 2026-10-04T01:38:13.760068+00:00 · rotowire
Trevor MooreLWLine 3—522.171.71—4.123.44—16.318.9%SecondaryOver 1.5 (-115) · draftkings · 2026-10-04T01:38:13.760068+00:00 · rotowire
Alex TurcotteCLine 2PP2511.121.080.042.312.240.0810.524.5%SecondaryMARKET UNAVAILABLE

Portfolio B · SJS — forward shot volume

Los Angeles Kings have allowed 20.20 shots on goal per game to opposing forwards (+0.5% versus league). That opens a San Jose Sharks forward SOG search. San Jose Sharks have generated 18.83 through their forwards (-6.4% versus league), which describes their normal volume. Macklin Celebrini, Will Smith, Tyler Toffoli, Collin Graf and Michael Misa have supplied 48% of their team's prior production here, with 52% coming from others. That puts their SOG markets at the front of this shot-volume read.

PlayerPositionCurrent line / pairCurrent PPQualified gamesSOG/G5v5 SOG/GPP SOG/GAttempts/G5v5 Attempts/GPP Attempts/GTOI min/GTeam shot shareSOG roleCurrent market line / price
Macklin CelebriniCLine 1PP1523.311.710.946.373.441.8720.9917.6%PrimaryOver 3.5 (-106) · betrivers · 2026-10-04T01:38:13.760068+00:00 · rotowire
Will SmithRWLine 1PP1462.521.590.804.963.371.3018.0811.8%PrimaryOver 2.5 (+101) · caesars · 2026-10-04T01:38:13.760068+00:00 · rotowire
Tyler ToffoliRWLine 3PP2512.021.270.694.252.711.3115.1910.5%PrimaryOver 1.5 (-135) · draftkings · 2026-10-04T01:38:13.760068+00:00 · rotowire
Collin GrafRWLine 2—511.221.00—2.372.06—16.396.3%SecondaryOver 1.5 (+105) · betrivers · 2026-10-04T01:38:13.760068+00:00 · rotowire
Michael MisaCLine 3PP2211.000.810.192.101.710.3812.712.1%SecondaryOver 1.5 (-145) · fanatics · 2026-10-04T01:38:13.760068+00:00 · rotowire

Game scouting read

San Jose Sharks allowed 22.17 SOG/game to forward lines (+10.3% versus league). That defensive allowance opens a forward lines SOG search. Los Angeles Kings generated 21.05 (+4.7% versus league) in their prior games; that normal team volume does not erase the matchup. The player scan is attack — broad. Overall, San Jose Sharks allowed 29.8 SOG/game and Los Angeles Kings generated 28.1; the positional split matters more for this read. San Jose Sharks also allowed +20.7% more PP SOG than league, an added route for current PP1 or PP2 forwards. Adrian Kempe, Alex Laferriere, Quinton Byfield, Trevor Moore and Alex Turcotte have the selected current shot roles.

Los Angeles Kings allowed 20.20 SOG/game to forward lines (+0.5% versus league). That defensive allowance opens a forward lines SOG search. San Jose Sharks generated 18.83 (-6.4% versus league) in their prior games; that normal team volume does not erase the matchup. The player scan is attack — broad. Overall, Los Angeles Kings allowed 27.0 SOG/game and San Jose Sharks generated 24.7; the positional split matters more for this read. Macklin Celebrini, Will Smith, Tyler Toffoli, Collin Graf and Michael Misa have the selected current shot roles.

Past chance rates give San Jose Sharks PP1 a little more room than usual. That affects how much the top units can contribute, without promising a penalty count tonight.

Where the attacks are

Los Angeles Kings — SOG scouting

San Jose Sharks allowed 22.17 SOG/game to forward lines (+10.3% versus league). That defensive allowance opens a forward lines SOG search. Los Angeles Kings generated 21.05 (+4.7% versus league) in their prior games; that normal team volume does not erase the matchup. The player scan is attack — broad. Overall, San Jose Sharks allowed 29.8 SOG/game and Los Angeles Kings generated 28.1; the positional split matters more for this read. San Jose Sharks also allowed +20.7% more PP SOG than league, an added route for current PP1 or PP2 forwards.

Adrian Kempe, Alex Laferriere and Quinton Byfield are the primary current shot owners. Trevor Moore and Alex Turcotte add current roles with historical five-on-five SOG and attempts. The player tables show each current line or pair, PP route, qualified shot history and an exact quote when one was observed.

Rates are prior per-game observations from their own qualified cohorts; attempts and SOG are one nested shot pool.

ChannelOpponent allowed/GOffense generated/GScouting state
Total29.81 (+7.3% vs league)28.05 (+0.9% vs league)Supported Attack
5v522.46 (+5.3% vs league)21.80 (+2.1% vs league)Supported Attack
PP5.02 (+20.7% vs league)4.08 (-1.7% vs league)Supported Attack
Forwards22.17 (+10.3% vs league)21.05 (+4.7% vs league)Supported Attack
Defensemen7.62 (-0.6% vs league)7.00 (-8.7% vs league)Suppressed

San Jose Sharks — SOG scouting

Los Angeles Kings allowed 20.20 SOG/game to forward lines (+0.5% versus league). That defensive allowance opens a forward lines SOG search. San Jose Sharks generated 18.83 (-6.4% versus league) in their prior games; that normal team volume does not erase the matchup. The player scan is attack — broad. Overall, Los Angeles Kings allowed 27.0 SOG/game and San Jose Sharks generated 24.7; the positional split matters more for this read.

Macklin Celebrini, Will Smith and Tyler Toffoli are the primary current shot owners. Collin Graf and Michael Misa add current roles with historical five-on-five SOG and attempts. The player tables show each current line or pair, PP route, qualified shot history and an exact quote when one was observed.

Rates are prior per-game observations from their own qualified cohorts; attempts and SOG are one nested shot pool.

ChannelOpponent allowed/GOffense generated/GScouting state
Total26.97 (-2.9% vs league)24.65 (-11.3% vs league)Suppressed
5v520.40 (-4.4% vs league)18.50 (-13.4% vs league)Suppressed
PP4.10 (-1.4% vs league)4.29 (+3.2% vs league)Suppressed
Forwards20.20 (+0.5% vs league)18.83 (-6.4% vs league)Supported Attack
Defensemen6.77 (-11.7% vs league)5.83 (-24.0% vs league)Suppressed

Los Angeles Kings — forward shot volume

San Jose Sharks have allowed 22.17 shots on goal per game to opposing forwards (+10.3% versus league). That opens a Los Angeles Kings forward SOG search. Los Angeles Kings have generated 21.05 through their forwards (+4.7% versus league), which describes their normal volume. The defensive allowance starts the player scan; the team’s prior shooting rate does not veto it. San Jose Sharks have also allowed +20.7% more PP SOG than league; current PP1 or PP2 members have another possible shot route.

Adrian Kempe, Alex Laferriere and Quinton Byfield carry the largest prior share of this shot group. Trevor Moore and Alex Turcotte also have current lines and recorded five-on-five shots and attempts, so the shot case reaches beyond the primary names. Other players supplied 51% of the team's prior group SOG. Trevor Moore recorded 1.71 SOG and 3.44 attempts per qualified game at five-on-five; the current role has no established PP shot route. Alex Turcotte recorded 1.08 SOG and 2.24 attempts per qualified game at five-on-five; current PP2 membership adds a possible route, with 0.04 SOG and 0.08 attempts per game in prior power-play states. Attempts include shots that missed or were blocked; they are part of the same shot pool as SOG.

That makes their SOG markets the cleanest way to bet on the shots. They need to put pucks on net; they do not need to score.

San Jose Sharks — forward shot volume

Los Angeles Kings have allowed 20.20 shots on goal per game to opposing forwards (+0.5% versus league). That opens a San Jose Sharks forward SOG search. San Jose Sharks have generated 18.83 through their forwards (-6.4% versus league), which describes their normal volume. The defensive allowance starts the player scan; the team’s prior shooting rate does not veto it.

Macklin Celebrini, Will Smith and Tyler Toffoli carry the largest prior share of this shot group. Collin Graf and Michael Misa also have current lines and recorded five-on-five shots and attempts, so the shot case reaches beyond the primary names. Other players supplied 52% of the team's prior group SOG. Collin Graf recorded 1.00 SOG and 2.06 attempts per qualified game at five-on-five; the current role has no established PP shot route. Michael Misa recorded 0.81 SOG and 1.71 attempts per qualified game at five-on-five; current PP2 membership adds a possible route, with 0.19 SOG and 0.38 attempts per game in prior power-play states. The teams’ past PP chance rates add context for that route. Attempts include shots that missed or were blocked; they are part of the same shot pool as SOG.

That makes their SOG markets the cleanest way to bet on the shots. They need to put pucks on net; they do not need to score.

Power-play units

Los Angeles Kings PP1

Los Angeles Kings have averaged 2.80 power plays per game, and San Jose Sharks have conceded 3.21. Together those past rates sit at roughly 3 chances. That is close to average, so PP1 has to produce from about its usual number of chances.

When Los Angeles Kings have had the extra skater, they generated 1.44 SOG per chance; San Jose Sharks allowed 1.56. Adrian Kempe and Quinton Byfield have scored the most PP goals among today's PP1, while Brandt Clarke and Adrian Kempe have supplied the most credited PP assists. The listed unit is current, but its minutes tonight are not guaranteed.

PP2 (informational): Alex Turcotte, Alex Laferriere, Erik Haula, Drew Doughty, Erik Gustafsson.

PlayerCurrent EV line / pairPP goalsPP assists
Quinton ByfieldLine 145
Artemi PanarinLine 112
Adrian KempeLine 145
Mats ZuccarelloLine 2——
Brandt ClarkePair 216

San Jose Sharks PP1

San Jose Sharks have averaged 3.23 power plays per game, and Los Angeles Kings have conceded 3.00. Together those past rates sit at roughly 3 chances. That is a little more favorable than average, giving PP1 another chance to matter.

When San Jose Sharks have had the extra skater, they generated 1.33 SOG per chance; Los Angeles Kings allowed 1.33. Macklin Celebrini and Alexander Wennberg have scored the most PP goals among today's PP1, while Macklin Celebrini and Alexander Wennberg have supplied the most credited PP assists. The listed unit is current, but its minutes tonight are not guaranteed.

PP2 (informational): Mason Marchment, Ivar Stenberg, Michael Misa, Tyler Toffoli, Dmitry Orlov.

PlayerCurrent EV line / pairPP goalsPP assists
Macklin CelebriniLine 1716
Will SmithLine 157
Alexander WennbergLine 257
Igor ChernyshovLine 300
Luca CagnoniPair 3——

Goalies / what could change

Los Angeles Kings: Anton Forsberg is listed as likely. San Jose Sharks generated 27.8 goalie-faced SOG per game, while Los Angeles Kings allowed 29.4; that could create workload if the starter plays the full game. A goalie-saves target still needs confirmed participation and its own qualified workload case.

San Jose Sharks: Yaroslav Askarov is listed as confirmed. A goalie-saves target still needs confirmed participation and its own qualified workload case.

Refresh units, goalies and exact sportsbook quotes before puck drop. Shot areas describe release locations, not fixed tactical positions.