St Louis Blues at Dallas Stars — Bettor’s Scouting Report

Portfolio A · DAL — defenseman shot volume

St Louis Blues have allowed 8.38 shots on goal per game to opposing defensemen (+9.4% versus league). That opens a Dallas Stars defenseman SOG search. Dallas Stars have generated 6.80 through their defense (-11.3% versus league), which describes their normal volume. Miro Heiskanen, Thomas Harley, Esa Lindell and Nils Lundkvist have supplied 69% of their team's prior production here, with 31% coming from others. That puts their SOG markets at the front of this shot-volume read.

Portfolio B · STL — defenseman shot volume

Dallas Stars have allowed 7.91 shots on goal per game to opposing defensemen (+3.2% versus league). That opens a St Louis Blues defenseman SOG search. St Louis Blues have generated 7.58 through their defense (-1.1% versus league), which describes their normal volume. Philip Broberg, Colton Parayko and Cam Fowler have supplied 48% of their team's prior production here, with 52% coming from others. That puts their SOG markets at the front of this shot-volume read.

Portfolio C · DAL — PP1 finishing

St Louis Blues have allowed 3.20 goals per game, while Dallas Stars have scored 3.48. Those are full-game historical rates. Wyatt Johnston, Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz and Mikko Rantanen have supplied 48% of their team's prior production here, with 52% coming from others. Those PP1 scoring histories put their goal markets in view.

Portfolio D · DAL — PP1 assist production

St Louis Blues have allowed 5.49 assists per game, while Dallas Stars have produced 6.20. Those are full-game historical rates. Mikko Rantanen, Miro Heiskanen, Jason Robertson and Wyatt Johnston have supplied 43% of their team's prior production here, with 57% coming from others. Those credited PP assists make their assist markets the relevant bets to examine.

St Louis Blues — SOG scouting

Dallas Stars allowed 7.91 SOG/game to defense pairs (+3.2% versus league). That defensive allowance opens a defense pairs SOG search. St Louis Blues generated 7.58 (-1.1% versus league) in their prior games; that normal team volume does not erase the matchup. The player scan is attack — concentrated. Overall, Dallas Stars allowed 26.2 SOG/game and St Louis Blues generated 25.1; the positional split matters more for this read.

Philip Broberg, Colton Parayko and Cam Fowler are the primary current shot owners. The player tables show each current line or pair, PP route, qualified shot history and an exact quote when one was observed.

Rates are prior per-game observations from their own qualified cohorts; attempts and SOG are one nested shot pool.

Dallas Stars — SOG scouting

St Louis Blues allowed 8.38 SOG/game to defense pairs (+9.4% versus league). That defensive allowance opens a defense pairs SOG search. Dallas Stars generated 6.80 (-11.3% versus league) in their prior games; that normal team volume does not erase the matchup. The player scan is attack — concentrated. Overall, St Louis Blues allowed 27.6 SOG/game and Dallas Stars generated 25.7; the positional split matters more for this read.

Miro Heiskanen, Thomas Harley and Esa Lindell are the primary current shot owners. Nils Lundkvist add current roles with historical five-on-five SOG and attempts. The player tables show each current line or pair, PP route, qualified shot history and an exact quote when one was observed.

Rates are prior per-game observations from their own qualified cohorts; attempts and SOG are one nested shot pool.

Dallas Stars — defenseman shot volume

St Louis Blues have allowed 8.38 shots on goal per game to opposing defensemen (+9.4% versus league). That opens a Dallas Stars defenseman SOG search. Dallas Stars have generated 6.80 through their defense (-11.3% versus league), which describes their normal volume. The defensive allowance starts the player scan; the team’s prior shooting rate does not veto it. That makes the back end a natural place to look for shots.

Miro Heiskanen, Thomas Harley and Esa Lindell carry the largest prior share of this shot group. Nils Lundkvist also has a current line and recorded five-on-five shots and attempts, so the shot case reaches beyond the primary names. Other players supplied 31% of the team's prior group SOG. Nils Lundkvist recorded 0.76 SOG and 2.16 attempts per qualified game at five-on-five; the current role has no established PP shot route. Attempts include shots that missed or were blocked; they are part of the same shot pool as SOG.

That makes their SOG markets the cleanest way to bet on the shots. They need to put pucks on net; they do not need to score.

St Louis Blues — defenseman shot volume

Dallas Stars have allowed 7.91 shots on goal per game to opposing defensemen (+3.2% versus league). That opens a St Louis Blues defenseman SOG search. St Louis Blues have generated 7.58 through their defense (-1.1% versus league), which describes their normal volume. The defensive allowance starts the player scan; the team’s prior shooting rate does not veto it. That makes the back end a natural place to look for shots.

Philip Broberg, Colton Parayko and Cam Fowler are the main names to watch, but the shot volume is not confined to them. Their current lines or pairs give them even-strength ice; Cam Fowler also skates on PP1. Philip Broberg recorded 1.03 SOG and 2.63 attempts per qualified game at five-on-five; the current role has no established PP shot route. Attempts include shots that missed or were blocked; they are part of the same shot pool as SOG.

That makes their SOG markets the cleanest way to bet on the shots. They need to put pucks on net; they do not need to score.

Dallas Stars — PP1 finishing

St Louis Blues have allowed 3.20 goals per game, while Dallas Stars have scored 3.48. Those are full-game historical rates. On the power play, Dallas Stars have produced 0.30 goals per chance, and St Louis Blues have allowed 0.26. They have scored enough to make the current PP1 finishers worth examining, especially if the top unit gets its usual chances.

Wyatt Johnston, Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz and Mikko Rantanen have 44 prior current-team PP goals between them and are on today's PP1. Their current lines or pairs give them ice outside the power play too. Other players supplied 52% of the team's full-game historical goals.

That puts their PP1 goal markets on the finishing list. Each bet needs that player to finish a chance.

Dallas Stars — PP1 assist production

St Louis Blues have allowed 5.49 assists per game, while Dallas Stars have produced 6.20. Those are full-game historical rates. On the power play, Dallas Stars have produced 0.59 assists per chance, and St Louis Blues have allowed 0.50. A goal creates the chance for a credited assist; the current PP1 group has done much of that scoring work.

Mikko Rantanen, Miro Heiskanen, Jason Robertson and Wyatt Johnston have 81 prior current-team credited PP assists between them and are on today's PP1. Their current lines or pairs give them ice outside the power play too. Other players supplied 57% of the team's full-game historical assists.

That makes their assist markets the way to bet on their part in the scoring, without guessing who will make a particular pass.

St Louis Blues PP1

St Louis Blues have averaged 2.73 power plays per game, and Dallas Stars have conceded 3.06. Together those past rates sit at roughly 3 chances. That is close to average, so PP1 has to produce from about its usual number of chances.

When St Louis Blues have had the extra skater, they generated 1.21 SOG per chance; Dallas Stars allowed 1.32. Jimmy Snuggerud and Dylan Holloway have scored the most PP goals among today's PP1, while Robert Thomas and Cam Fowler have supplied the most credited PP assists. The listed unit is current, but its minutes tonight are not guaranteed.

PP2 (informational): Pavel Buchnevich, Connor McMichael, Dalibor Dvorsky, Jake Neighbours, Adam Jiříček.

Dallas Stars PP1

Dallas Stars have averaged 3.05 power plays per game, and St Louis Blues have conceded 2.80. Together those past rates sit at roughly 3 chances. That is close to average, so PP1 has to produce from about its usual number of chances.

When Dallas Stars have had the extra skater, they generated 1.38 SOG per chance; St Louis Blues allowed 1.35. Wyatt Johnston and Jason Robertson have scored the most PP goals among today's PP1, while Mikko Rantanen and Jason Robertson have supplied the most credited PP assists. The listed unit is current, but its minutes tonight are not guaranteed.

PP2 (informational): Justin Hryckowian, Tyler Seguin, Jamie Benn, Thomas Harley, Esa Lindell.